fairness · paradox · traps
Parrondo's paradox
Each game loses. Switching between them can win.
Each machine, played alone, drifts down. What happens if you switch between them?
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A coral coin count is a multiple of 3. That is when machine B uses its worse coin. One short walk can go either way.
After 80 plays, the average result
Lock a direction, then run the walks.
—This walk's ending coins
—Average change after 80 plays
—Walks that finished up
Machine A wins 49.5% of plays. Left on its own, the coins drift down.
Machine B wins 9.5% of plays when your coins are a multiple of 3, and 74.5% otherwise. Left on its own, it drifts down too.
Switching between the machines drifts up. Each machine, played by itself, drifts down.